Not have a significant speculation of electronic technology
The end of each year when they are to repeat the same thing: over the past 12 months of inventory laptop battery, and forecast what will happen next year. Much to the annoyance! Therefore, market research firm ABI Research decided to moved in the opposite direction, a list of some speculation, but in 2005 will not significantly change the way we live technology.
Micro fuel cell commercialization will need 18-24 months
People have great expectations of the micro fuel cell will not appear in the notebook PC, PDA and mobile phone are. Although Toshiba (Toshiba) and Hitachi (Hitachi), such as the company initially expected to micro fuel cell will be in late 2004 or early 2005 to enter the retail stores first, but continue to face as a result of lower energy density toshiba battery, the lack of basic norms and standards, as well as the distribution channels and cost issues, the commercialization of the road will be full of frustrations.
ABI Research expects the next 18-24 months, a limited number of micro fuel cell to reach Japan and the United States some of our customers. MTI Micro’s fuel cells limited to the flow of Intermec Corporation, and was integrated into the rapidly growing mobile computing for the RFID market.
Remote information processing: embedded mobile phone will replace the long-range information processing?
Although mobile phones have included GPS and other advanced features more and more, but the phone will not replace the embedded remote information processing equipment. This does not mean that a number of new applications and services will not seek to challenge embedded TCU (telematics control unit). XM’s NavTraffic and Acura’s new AcuraLink services, respectively, will try to shift focus from TCU embedded satellite radio receivers and the user’s own mobile phone.
As the Bluetooth (Bluetooth) hands-free devices in the car more and more popular, the future may be more limited this the remote information processing services (diluted telematics service). However, they may never be used for emergency services, such as ACN (Automatic Collision reminded), since it would need a ubiquitous network coverage.
In the commercial telematics, the phone would indeed replace the integrated in-car hardware made great progress. For many vertical markets, these actions will be successful, at least in the short term will be a success. The reason is that, with the long-range information processing into the small car operators, plus the cost of a more decisive factor, so for the wireless operators to provide mobile phone services based on opening the door.
One simple application, including the driver state, and, more importantly, you can send the driver through a new generation of mobile phone location information, such as the Ruggedized Motorola i58sr cell phone, it has GPS and mobile intercom services (push-to-talk) functionality. To the wireless operators will be able to pay a fee to enjoy all those services, is another major advantage. @ Road and Qualcomm (Qualcomm) and other traditional commercial TSP (telematics service provider) is aware of this point, it has been working to support the services provided through mobile phones.
RFID will not be passed in 2005 the reconstruction of the entire enterprise and global supply chain
RFID technology continue to grow steadily into the area of consumer products and retail. 2004 new products, services and overall market education made considerable progress in a year, RFID market to grow steadily, as the first reusable intelligent sensor networks, long-term future. However, the recipient of the technology supply chain to a significant change, there is still a long way to go, but 2005 will not solve all problems.
If 2004 was the technological progress, and setbacks in the discussion, it will be the 2005 adaptation of business processes for planning and discussion leading RFID year. In this regard, the technology relies on EPC standards, the transformation process involves much more than a global network of EPS. Processes involved in adaptation and application of enterprise software providers, as well as system integrators, users will have many problems toshiba tecra a4 battery, toshiba tecra a5 battery, toshiba tecra a6 battery to be resolved.
About 1 January, 2005 over concern, though in 2005 the remaining 364 days are not interested. As of December 1, 2004, EPC Global has not yet completed a standard, and the unresolved issue of what criteria to adopt in China.
Moreover, the U.S. retail giant Wal-Mart (Wal-Mart) and the U.S. Department of Defense underestimated Intermec’s intellectual property claims arising from the issue of standardization of stagnation. Intermec for patent claims, to prevent the Department of Defense in the retail and supplier level, the long-term investment in RFID. Practices of the company’s Public Relations claimed that their 60 days free to contradict royalty. As a result, suppliers can understand the concerns, supply chain RFID projects and planning was postponed. Suppliers fear, Intermec patents for the idea of IP and the issue price for the hardware and supply situation.
RFID for in 2005 would be little to write home about, there is an increase, also declined; both successes and failures; the existing momentum, there are bottlenecks. These issues will be resolved, but from a consumer and defense goods, the supplier’s point of view, a comprehensive RFID enterprise integration efforts will remain “in the processing state” rather than “finished state.”
HSDPA mobile phone does not appear, PC card to start listing
Known as the 4G’s HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access) mobile phone will do in 2005? The answer is “no.” Even in 2006, we will see some early samples, and the power consumption will be high, the larger size.
However, since the topic said, HSDPA is the field will appear, UMTS infrastructure in 2005 to support HSDPA, especially in Japan, and PC cards will be listed. The reason is that compared with the mobile phone, PC card of a larger size, but not too tight power connection, so it should be easier to design.
Only just launched UMTS services, why do we have to discuss HSDPA? This is because, in many areas, GSM operators are facing CDMA2000 1X EV-DO has a high data rate to compete effectively. Second, operators want to provide mobile broadband, that is to replace DSL and Cable, in particular for new market enterprises. Finally, they wish to adopt a lower cost per byte Fast streaming video, video conferencing, music downloads and games, such as advanced multimedia features to enhance their ARPU. WiMAX will not soon replace the Cable and DSL. However, it will appear in end-to-end enterprise market, but there is no broadband infrastructure and equipment and the areas of broadband at a reasonable distance of the small communities, it will be effective “last mile or a few miles” solutions.
HD DVD and Blu-ray DVD hard to win, consumers at a loss
Sony (Sony) bought the film company Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM), for the Blu-ray DVD to increase the chip, the industry most people think it to the HD DVD format has sounded a death knell. However, Toshiba and NEC have recently been seven major Hollywood film companies in the support of four of these companies will be proposed by Toshiba and NEC’s HD DVD format movies. Hope that this will not review the Sony Betamax standard Toshiba lost nightmare.
In 2005, the next generation of optical recording technology will not have competition between the clear-cut results, which will lead to some confusion, consumers in these new formats will be confused. According to ABI Research, as a result of both formats have been supported by the outcome of this competition there are only two: the production of two formats at the same time support the product; or persuade supporters on both sides automatically cease-fire, the merger of the similarities between the two formats, give up the difference. Moreover, once the phone again, usually ended in a truce.
Although PMP hot, but not as popular as Apple’s iPod
Apple did not launch the video iPod, has let the industry in 2004, disappointed. In 2005 the phenomenon may not be as successful iPod portable media players (Portable Media players, PMP). Major consumer electronics manufacturers have launched a series of portable video products, in 2005 the market will continue to appear crowded, some of the beginning of 2006 there will be a temporary leader. Sony, Microsoft (Microsoft), Archos and Thomson vendors are worthy of our attention, they want to be the portable video market leader.
DCR TV will not be advanced two-way market toshiba tecra a7 battery, toshiba tecra s2 battery, reached a settlement needs to wait for multi -
While the industry eagerly looking forward to this advanced two-way digital cable ready TV (Two way-ready advanced digital cable ready TV) in 2005 during the mid to late to enter the market, but we are not in the first quarter of 2006 saw their shadow. This integration of digital cable TV, also known as the DCR TV (digital cable ready TV), digital cable consumers will no longer need to drive additional item box. Consumer electronics, cable and satellite industries, the need to reach an agreement – then the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) and Hollywood needs to provide support for this reconciliation, and consumer electronics manufacturers will be able to continue to promote the two-way DCR television market.
